Pollster Nate Silver: AOC Most Likely 2028 Dem Nominee

Pollster Nate Silver said Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., is the most likely Democrat to be the party’s 2028 presidential nominee.

Speaking on his Silver Bulletin Substack with former FiveThirtyEight podcast host Galen Druke on Thursday, Silver called out Druke for choosing AOC first in their mock draft, noting her incredibly high favorability rating among fellow Democrats. A recent Yale University poll found the New York congresswoman earned a 60+ favorability within her party, the same as former Vice President Kamala Harris.

“I think there’s a lot of points in her favor at this very moment,” Druke explained. “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has broad appeal across the Democratic Party,” adding, “I think equally important is the fact that she has very fervent support. I think a lot of people are gonna run in 2028, and it’s going to be a contest for attention and getting those sort of people who might be in your boat to turn out and stay with you through thick and thin.”